WARNING: The following spooky post is simply deductive reasoning.
"Deductive reasoning is a logical process in which a conclusion is based on the observation of multiple premises that are generally assumed to be true. "
Just over the horizon, every dealer's worst nightmare is gaining momentum. The dawn of self-driving cars has arrived (Tesla fired the 1st round into the market at no extra charge). What concerns me is the arrival of self-driving cars aligns perfectly with the smartphone's impact to car ownership:
"Thirty percent of car owners would give up their car before giving up their smartphone, which demonstrates that smartphones have become more useful than cars to one-third of the population sampled."
http://designmind.frogdesign.com/2015/09/how-to-respond-to-declining-car-ownership/
From my P.O.V., when I connect the 2 waves (supply and demand), over the next 10 years, semi-self-driving cars will evolve into fully-self-driving pods that people use via smart phone.
Traffic lights are for Humans???
A look into what self-driving traffic can look like in 2026.
[MEDIA=youtube]-yD09YjWKh8[/MEDIA]
Along the way, self-driving cars are going to excite us, scare us and piss us off...
[MEDIA=youtube]ACJTqSDz0rU[/MEDIA]
But, as long as automakers assume the liability of self-driving (i.e. Volvo) I think consumers will gradually give up more and more control over their car.
To conclude, from what I see today, the next 10 yrs are going to be a great for us, but, it'll be the zenith of the 100yr old auto dealer industry caused by the dawn of The Self-Driving car.