First off, good job on establishing the importance of a well run PPC campaign. Being Google Adwords Certified Partners ourselves, I can appreciate a good PPC campaign any day of the week. That said, I'm all for sensationalism, but it's a little irresponsible to say 'forget about SEO unless your website is in transition, or to call it wiz-bang nonsense'.
This especially when SEO drives 8.5X as many clicks as a PPC ad does (source
Via Enquisite: PPC Agencies Make 45X What SEOs Do for the Same Value)
Furthermore, with Landing Page Quality Score being the second most important factor (after CTR)
http://bit.ly/j0JJHt it's important to make sure your LP has basic on-page SEO implemented. Let me play devil's advocate to some of the PPC-isms you talk about:Control - No one can guarantee placement. While that is true, you can control a number of other very important things.
- Meta Descriptions
- Integrated Listing Rich Name, Address, Phone #, Ratings Data.
Timing - It's important to tie non-branded organic search traffic to conversion data the same way you'd tie PPC traffic to conversion data. An analysis should be done around the 3 month mark to see how cost per lead via SEO is far lower than the cost per lead via PPC.
Traffic - We've got clients in every major vertical (think Yellow Pages verticals) and the theme I see repeated on every analytics account is that about 50%+ of their traffic is mid-tail or long tail organic traffic. This is 'non-branded' traffic as well by the way. Focusing on your top 3-5 money keywords is a good start, but it's also what the competition is gunning for. Play it smart by uncovering keywords that have low traffic and low competition, then generate content that hits different keyword variations for easy ranking wins.
ROI - You're on the money about how the ROI between SEO and PPC pans out. As more dealers get into online marketing, average bid prices will go up at a more liquid/elastic rate than the average price for SEO services (which everyone charges a different rate for).
Terence, all in all a great post on the merits of PPC. Just had to make sure the sensationalism of the "SEO is Dead" type commentary was presented with a grain of salt.